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The Unreliability Paradox:
Rethinking Data-Driven Mobility

December 20 – 22, 2026

Donaueschingen, Germany 

Unreliability Defines Poor Mobility.
Or Does It?

Mobility research usually treats unreliability as a problem to be eliminated. And indeed, the downsides of unreliability—such as delays, missed connections, and disruptions—are evident. However, a broader, long-term perspective suggests a more nuanced discussion of unreliability. Under certain conditions, unreliability can contribute to robustness and flexibility, enable novel forms of interaction, and give rise to adaptive or creative responses. ​​​

About the Conference

This conference explores the broad spectrum of positive and negative consequences of unreliability in mobility. We will combine viewpoints of traditional mobility research with cutting-edge developments in data science and AI and with a holistic sociological perspective. Indeed, growing emphasis on local accessibility and slow mobility, as in the 15-minute city and machizukuri, highlights the importance of well-being, social connection, and sustainability in the context of transportation. Theories on the benefits of inconvenience and Rosa’s resonance suggest that unlimited accessibility may erode meaning by removing effort, surprise, and unpredictability. Hence, future planning must balance optimization with human-centered values. Our workshop aims to further three specific goals:

  • Establish mathematical frameworks and guarantees for unreliability.

  • Distinguish “good” from “bad” unreliability and quantify the long- and short-term impacts. 

  • Consider contemporary methods from machine learning and AI for improving traveller experience.

What Participants Get From the Conference?
  • Researchers will discuss their ideas with a group of international experts from diverse disciplines

  • Business leaders will gain insights into the latest developments in the field

  • Policymakers will get inspiration to develop concrete strategies for better mobility

Scientific Committee

Connecting Data Science and Transportation

Jan-Dirk and Johannes share a mission to bridge the world of transportation with the latest advances in data science and artificial intelligence. This workshop represents a first step toward that vision by bringing together leading researchers from around the globe. We are convinced that today’s transportation challenges—and their short- and long-term social impacts on accessibility, equity, safety, and quality of life—can only be addressed through true interdisciplinary collaboration. Join us and become part of this journey.

Keynote Talks

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Title: Between Optimization and Unavailability: Why Future-Ready Transportation Is Not Just a Question of More Data Abstract: Data science and artificial intelligence are increasingly promising to make mobility more efficient, predictable, and seemingly reliable. At the same time, growing evidence suggests that maximum optimization does not automatically lead to higher quality of life, but can instead generate new forms of stress, loss of control, and alienation. ​ Taking the Unreliability Paradox as a starting point, this talk reconsiders mobility from a future-oriented and societal perspective. It explores the role of unavailability, surprise, and serendipity in well-being, resonance, and meaningful mobility, and examines how limited choice can, under certain conditions, function as a quality rather than a deficit. ​ Against this backdrop, contemporary concepts such as the 15-minute city are discussed alongside the challenges of an increasingly atomized society.  ​ - Where do connective spaces and places emerge today?  - How can mobility systems be designed not only to optimize movement, but also to foster social resonance, encounters, and a sense of commitment and belonging? - Who decides which forms of optimization are desirable and where intentional limits or friction should be designed into mobility systems?​ Drawing on future scenarios, conceptual frameworks from futures studies, and examples from urban and mobility development, the talk argues that beyond better predictions, we need new normative frameworks for “good” mobility and reflects on the implications this has for data science, design, and governance in transportation.

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Title: The Geometry of Good Unreliability: How AI Can Balance Optimization with Meaningful Flexibility Abstract: Modern transportation optimization pursues an alluring goal: minimize uncertainty, maximize predictability, deliver the optimal route. Yet this framing conflates two fundamentally different types of uncertainty: the frustrating unpredictability that erodes trust, and the generative uncertainty that enables discovery, encounter, and adaptation. In this keynote I will (try to) argue that distinguishing "good" from "bad" unreliability is not just a philosophical exercise but might admit a tractable mathematical perspective and that AI may be uniquely positioned to operationalize this distinction at scale. We will motivate a geometric perspective on mobility optimization, where the feasible region represents not a constraint to be minimized against, but a space of possibilities to be thoughtfully navigated and even explored. Rather than collapsing this space to a single optimal point, AI systems can learn to balance competing objectives: efficiency and serendipity, reliability and exploration, predictability and the productive friction that fosters social connection. Similar to multi-objective optimization, robust planning under uncertainty, and recent advances in reinforcement learning, we outline how AI can serve as a balancing mechanism, by dynamically adjusting tradeoffs between, e.g., tight optimization and deliberate slack based on context, user needs, and system-wide considerations. The result is not optimization or unreliability, but "optimized unreliability". We finish with a few thoughts on the implications for the design of future mobility systems and the broader question of how AI can enhance rather than erode human agency.

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Tentative Schedule

20th

SUNDAY

9:00 am
Keynote (Christiane Varga)

10:30 am
Coffee break

11:00 am

Plenary talk

12:30 pm
Lunch break

2:00 pm

Breakout sessions

  • Unreliability as Source of Innovation (Christiane Varga)

  • Designing Surprise (TBD)

  • Measuring Unreliability (Martin Spindler)

3:30 pm

Coffee break

3:45 pm

Poster lightning pitches

4:30 pm
Poster session 

21st

MONDAY

9:00 am
Keynote (Sebastian Pokutta)

10:00 am
Breakout discussion

10:30 am

Coffee break

11:00 am
Breakout sessions

  • Resilience Through Unreliability (TBD)

  • Long-term Benefits and Costs of Unreliability (Francesco Corman)

  • Time-Use Research and Mobility (TBD)

12:30 pm

Lunch break

2:00 pm

Breakout discussion

3:00 pm

Social program

22nd

TUESDAY

9:30 am
Plenary talk

10:30 am
Coffee break

11:00 am

Keynote (Kay Axhausen)

Schedule
Registration & Fees

Register early to secure discounted early bird rates. All registrations include full conference access, coffee breaks, and lunches.

Category

Regular (Ph.D. holders)

Student

Early Bird

(Before February 1, 2026)

450 EUR

400 EUR

Standard

(Feb. 1, 2026 — Sep. 1, 2026)

500 EUR

450 EUR

Late

(After September 1, 2026)​

550 EUR

500 EUR

accommodation
Location

The conference takes place in Donaueschingen, a historic town at the gateway to the Black Forest and the birthplace of the Danube River. Known for its palace gardens, cultural heritage, and proximity to some of southern Germany’s most scenic landscapes, Donaueschingen offers participants an appealing setting to combine professional exchange with sightseeing and regional exploration.

Frequently Asked Questions
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